ZCZC MKCSWODY1 000
ACUS1 KMKC 200120
MKC AC 200120

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH940.

VALID 200200Z - 201200Z

REF WW NUMBER 187...VALID TIL 0400Z.
REF WW NUMBER 189...VALID TIL 0400Z.
REF WW NUMBER 190...VALID TIL 0400Z.
REF WW NUMBER 191...VALID TIL 0600Z.
REF WW NUMBER 192...VALID TIL 0900Z.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TONIGHT ACRS ERN IL...MUCH OF IND...WRN OH...SERN MO...WRN KY...WRN TN...AND NERN AR TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LUK BWG UOX PBF HOT 10 NW PO2 MVN 15 NE MTO 20 NE CMI 40 E MMO 20 S CGX 30 ESE CGX SBN 30 NE FWA LUK.

SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW ROC IPT 40 W MRB CRW 35 WNW CHA 40 NNW MEI 25 NE HOU 30 W CLL 45 W TPL 35 NNE ACT 30 SSE MLC 20 W FSM 15 E FYV 40 ESE TBN 20 S STL DEC 15 W MMO 40 ENE ALO 20 S LSE 30 S OSH 35 NNW MKG 20 NNE MBS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW FCA BPI 35 NW VEL ELY 10 NE RNO SFO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE CRP JCT FTW MKO 35 ESE SGF STL SPI PIA MLI FOD MKT CMX ... CONT ... 25 N PBG 20 S RUT JFK ... CONT ... SSI 25 SSE VLD AQQ.

DANGEROUS OUTBREAK OF SVR TSTMS CONTS FM LWR GRTLKS/MID MS AND OH VLY REGION INTO THE SERN PLAINS AS MID-LEVEL SHRTWV TROF INTERACTS WITH VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AMS /LI TO -8/ AHEAD OF DRYLN...WHICH EXTENDS SWD FM SFC LOW OVER W CNTRL IA.

NMRS POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE CURRENTLY PROPAGATING EWD ACRS THE LWR GRTLKS/LWR OH VLY REGION...WHERE DRYLN IS BULGING EWD AHEAD OF 80+ KIT H5 JET STREAK PROPAGATING NEWD FM THE SRN PLAINS. STG DYNAMIC FORCING...MDT TO STG INSTBY...AND STG VERTICAL SHEAR EXPCTD TO SUPPORT NMRS SVR TSTMS WITH TORNADOES/LARGE HAIL/DMGG WINDS WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACRS HIGH RISK AREA.

LN STG/SVR TSTMS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACRS SERN OK/ERN TX ARE ALSO EXPCTD TO CONT THRU THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AS ACTIVITY PROPAGATES INTO MORE FVRBL MOISTURE AND VERTICAL SHEAR ACRS THE LWR MS VLY...A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH ISOLD TORNADOES ARE PSBL.

...KERR... 04/20/96