November 27, 1994
1500 UTC (9:00 AM CST) Day 1 Outlook Text

313
ACUS1 KMKC 271441
SWODY1
MKC AC 271440

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O

VALID 271500 - 281200Z

REF WW 905...VALID UNTIL 2000Z.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTN AND TNGT ACRS PTNS S AND E AR...WRN KY...WRN AND MID TN...NRN AL...NRN AND CNTRL MS AND NRN LA. THIS AREA IS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 15 S TXK LIT 30 NNW DYR 20 W OWB 25 NE SDF 30 S LEX 15 S CSV GAD 40 SW TCL 25 SW JAN 25 N ESF SHV 15 S TXK.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 30 WNW TXK 10 SE HRO 20 W VIH 35 NW STL 25 NE HUF 15 N DAY 30 WNW UNI 20 WSW 5I3 35 NW AHN TOI 15 N GPT BTR 25 WNW BPT 50 SW LFK 30 WNW TXK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 30 SW PSX 55 E ACT 10 SE PGO 40 NNE SGF 15 WSW IRK 40 NW 3OI 35 ENE SUX 30 E FRM LSE 15 NNE MBS ...CONT...25 NNE JHW 15 ENE NEL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 15 N ECG 35 WSW FLO PFN.

VERY POTENT WARM SECTOR HAS DVLP OVERNGT ACRS LWR MS VLY AS INTENSE LOW NOW OVR SERN NEB MOVES ACRS SRN WI EARLY TNGT. MDT TO STG PTNL INSTBY IN PLACE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT WHICH IS NOW ENTERING WRN AR. DEW POINTS HV RISEN TO NR 70 INTO SRN AR ATTM AND WITH STG LLJ OF 60-70 KT DEWPOINTS INTO THE 60S WILL MOV RPDLY NEWD INTO TN AND SRN OH VLYS THIS AFTN. STEEP MID LVL LAPSE RATES WITH ASSOCD DRY AIR ADVECTING EWD ACRS THIS LOW LVL AMS WILL ENHANCE UPDRAFT PTNL. HELICITIES AOA 400 WITH PTNL CAPES BTWN 2000-3000 J/KG WILL SET UP BY EARLY THIS AFTN IN HIGH RISK AREA. WITH JET MAX OF 150KT ATTM OVR OK AND STG UPR DVRG ACRS HIGH RISK AREA...POTENT SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOS ARE PSBL. CELL MOVMT WILL BE VERY FAST 50-60 KT ENHANCING STM RELATIVE INFLOW. STG WIND FIELDS ALSO FAVOR VERY DMGG BOW ECHOES WITH ASSOCD WND DMG. THIS WILL BE PRIMARY CONCERN OVR NRN PTN OF OTLK WHERE INSTBY WL BE WEAKER.

A PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 16Z.

..HALES.. 11/27/94