April 25, 1994
1500 UTC (10:00 AM CDT) Day 1 Outlook Text

SWODY1 (ACUS1 KMKC)

MKC AC 251500

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O

VALID 251500 - 261200Z

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTN AND EVENING ACRS A LRG PART OF NEB AND KS...MUCH OF OK..WRN PTNS OF IA/MO/AR...AND A SMALL PART OF NRN TX...XTRM SERN SD. THIS AREA IS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 50 SE CDS GCK IML FSD OTG DSM SZL 25 NW HRO 30 W TXK 20 NNE FTW 50 SE CDS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM HDO 20 NW ABI CDS 1K5 30 WNW COS 25 N CYS RAP Y26 AXN RHI APN...CONT...BUF DAY EVV MEM 35 NW POE 45 S CLL HDO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 40 SE P07 30 ESE P07 LBB 10 NE TCC 20 SW 4SL 35 NE IGM 25 S MRY ...CONT...ONP 30 SW S80 3HT 50 N DVL ...CONT...WAL 10 E HKY 25 NNE SSI 25 N SSI.

SGFNT OUTBREAK OF SVR TSTMS AND TORNADOES IS LIKELY THIS AFTN AND EVE AS A VIGOROUS SHRTWV INTERACTS WITH A VERY UNSTBL AMS ACRS THE CNTRL PLNS.

IR/WV IMAGERY SHOWING WELL DEFINED VIGOROUS SHRTWV TROF WORKING ACRS ERN NM INTO WRN TX ATTM. MRNG ETA CONTS EVENING TREND OF DVLPG NEG TILT TROF LFTG NEWD ACRS PLNS. THIS FEATURE IS PROGD TO SWEEP FM SRN PLNS INTO MID/UPR MS VLY DURG PD AS 80/90KT MID LVL WND MAX PUNCHES INTO CNTRL PLNS. STG SLY LOW LVL WNDS WL CONT TO ADVECT WRM MOIST VRY UNSTBL INTO PLNS AHD OF SYS. ATTM SFC LOW IS LOCATED OVR E CNTRL CO AND IS XPCD TO LIFT NNEWD INTO CNTRL NEB BY END OF FCST PD. ALTHO MRNG SNDGS ARE SHOWING SOME LOW/MID LVL CAP BELIEVE STRENGTH OF WND FIELDS...MID LVL COOLING AND PVA ASSOCD WITH SYS WL EASILY SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SVR TSTM AND TORNADIC DVLPMT. INITIAL INSTBY...CAPES AND XPCD HELICITIES STILL SUPPORT ISOLD SUPERCELL DVLPMT AND ASSOCD TORNADOES.

A PWOMKC WL BE ISSUED BY 1600Z.

..ANTHONY.. 04/25/94